Machine Learning to Predict Discharge Destination After Total Knee Arthroplasty and Total Hip Arthroplasty.

Discharge destination impacts costs and perioperative planning for primary total knee (TKA) or hip arthroplasty (THA). The purpose of this study was to create a tool to predict discharge destination in contemporary patients. Models were developed using more than 400,000 patients from the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database. Models were compared with a previously published model using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and decision curve analysis (DCA). AUC on patients with TKA was 0.729 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.719 to 0.738) and 0.688 (95% CI: 0.678 to 0.697) using the new and previous models, respectively. AUC on patients with THA was 0.768 (95% CI: 0.758 to 0.778) and 0.726 (95% CI: 0.714 to 0.737) using the new and previous models, respectively. DCA showed substantially improved net clinical benefit. The new models were integrated into a web-based application. This tool enhances clinical decision making for predicting discharge destination following primary TKA and THA. (Journal of Surgical Orthopaedic Advances 32(4):252-258, 2023).

Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions and Military Hygiene at the United States Military Academy between 1890 and 1910.

INTRODUCTION: Military installations are at increased risk for the transmission of infectious disease. Personnel who live and train on military installations live and train near one another facilitating disease transmission. An understanding of historical sanitation and hygiene can inform modern practices. This is especially pertinent considering the continuing rise of variants of infectious diseases, such as the recent pandemic of the 2019 severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2. In this article, we review the rise and decline of infectious disease at the United States Military Academy (USMA) during the period spanning 1890 through 1910, and the public health interventions used to combat disease spread. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Primary data regarding cadet illness were acquired from the historical archives of the USMA. These included annual reports, clinical admission records, casualty ledgers, and sanitation reports. Unpublished documents from the medical history of USMA provide periodic trends of health among cadets because of infectious disease. RESULTS: Between 1890 and 1910, the USMA at West Point was confronted with cases of influenza, measles, mumps, scarlet fever, smallpox, typhus, and malaria. In response, a series of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) were instituted to curb the spread of infectious disease. These interventions most likely proved effective in suppressing the transmission of communicable diseases. The most common and arguably the most effective NPI was the physical separation of the sick from the well. CONCLUSIONS: The USMA experience mirrored what was occurring in the larger U.S. Army in the early 20th century and may serve as a model for the application of NPIs in response to modern infectious diseases resulting from novel or unknown etiologies.